The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems, and strength ratings, all based on VSiN’s methods for handicapping the NBA games scheduled for December 2, 2024.

AJ’s Angles:

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

• Home teams on 3+ days of rest have a 44-19 SU and 39-21-3 ATS (65%) record when hosting teams on their third consecutive road game over the last three seasons.
  System Match (PLAY): Houston (+1.5 vs. Oklahoma City)
• NBA teams winning by a close margin (1-3 points) as favorites have gone 247-131 SU but just 160-206-12 ATS (43.7%) the next time they are favored.
  System Match (FADE): New York (-12 vs. New Orleans)
• Teams that allowed 20 or more 3PT field goals in their previous game have performed well when favored in their next game, with a 161-60 SU and 122-96-3 ATS (56%) record over the last 4 seasons.
  System Match (PLAY): Boston (-1 at Cleveland)
• The over has been on a 12-1 run in the Dallas-Portland series at Portland dating back to 2017.
  Trend Match: PLAY Over in Dallas-Portland (o/u at 227.5)
• The under is 8-0-1 in the Denver-LA Clippers series in Los Angeles since 2021.
  Trend Match: PLAY Under in Denver-LA Clippers (o/u at 223.5)

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data:

One of the most useful tools for bettors on the VSiN website is the betting splits data provided by DraftKings. This data offers a breakdown of money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals, helping to identify key trends.

Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games:

• DK NBA Betting Splits system #1: When 63% or more of the handle is on the home team as a 4-point favorite or underdog, this group has gone 94-75 ATS (55.6%) in the past.
  System Match (PLAY): Brooklyn
• DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle is on the road side of an ATS wager, this group has gone 489-433 ATS (53%) in the last season and a half.
  System Matches (PLAY ALL): Boston, Miami, Dallas, San Antonio, Denver
• DK NBA Betting Splits system #3: When there’s a majority handle backing a home underdog, this group has gone 39-24 ATS (61.9%) over the past season and a half.
  System Matches (PLAY ALL): Brooklyn, Utah
• DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: When a majority handle backs the team with fewer wins, this group has gone 156-117 ATS (57.1%) over the past season and a half.
  System Matches (PLAY ALL): Brooklyn, Boston, Utah, Denver
• DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: Super-majority groups (62%+) in NBA non-conference games have gone 242-201 ATS (54.6%).
  System Match (PLAY): New York
• DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: In non-divisional conference games, super-majority handle groups (63%+) have gone 280-233 ATS (54.6%).
  System Matches (PLAY ALL): Brooklyn, Boston, Miami, San Antonio

More Detailed DK NBA Betting Splits:

• DK NBA Betting Splits system #8: Road teams with a majority handle have performed better, with a 571-358 record for +23.75 units and a +2.6% ROI.
  System Matches (FADE ALL): Home teams – Memphis ML, Toronto ML, New York ML, Portland ML, Sacramento ML
• DK NBA Betting Splits system #13: Majority bettors backing the Under have gone 263-205 (56.2%) since 2023.
  System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): Indiana-Memphis, Miami-Toronto, New Orleans-New York, Oklahoma City-Houston, LA Lakers-Utah, Dallas-Portland
• DK NBA Betting Splits system #14: Majority bettors on either side of the total (Over or Under) have gone 235-195 (54.7%) for +20.5 units and an ROI of +4.8% since January 2023.
  System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): Miami-Toronto, New Orleans-New York, LA Lakers-Utah
• DK NBA Betting Splits system #15: In games with low totals (less than 220), majority bettors have gone 226-198 (53.3%) since January 2023.
  System Match (PLAY OVER): Orlando-Brooklyn
• DK NBA Betting Splits system #16: Majority Under bettors have had success when sticking to their bets despite DraftKings raising the total. These Under bets have gone 106-71 (59.9%) since January 2023.
  System Match (PLAY UNDER): Indiana-Memphis

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping:

Scheduling situations play a crucial role in NBA handicapping. Teams with extra rest or a series of demanding games often show specific patterns in performance.

• Teams on 3+ Days Rest are 183-123 SU and 176-122 ATS (59.1%) against teams on One Day Rest over the last four seasons.
  System Matches (PLAY ALL): Houston (+1.5 vs. Oklahoma City), Denver (-3 at LA Clippers), San Antonio (+6.5 at Sacramento)
• Home teams on 3+ Days Rest have a 63-29 SU and 56-34-2 ATS (62.2%) record hosting teams on One Day Rest over the last three seasons.
  System Match (PLAY): Houston (+1.5 vs. Oklahoma City)
• Over the total has hit 59% (108-76) when one team is on One Day Rest and the opponent has 3+ Days Rest.
  System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): Oklahoma City-Houston (o/u at 220.5), Denver-LA Clippers (o/u at 223.5), Sacramento-San Antonio (o/u at 225.5)
• Portland is 26-61 SU and 32-55 ATS when playing at home on One Day Rest since 2020-21.
  System Match (FADE): Portland (+7 vs. Dallas)

NBA Team Strength Systems:

The following systems are based on team strength indicators: NBA Team Strength Betting System #4: Double-digit favorites in non-conference games have gone 185-35 SU but just 100-117-3 ATS (46.1%) in the last three seasons.
System Match (FADE): New York (-12 vs. New Orleans)